(RepublicanReport.org) – Senator Ted Cruz (R-TX) first won his seat in the Senate in 2012, starting his 11-year career in the Upper Chamber. While the senator easily beat his Democratic opponent during his first run by a near 16% margin, his numbers were weak in 2018. Cruz barely came out victorious then, earning only 50.9% of the vote against Beto O’Rourke (D), who received 48.3%. A recent poll shows 2024 might be the year Cruz loses the seat.
On February 15, National Public Affairs posted a poll of 807 voters showing the Texas senator and his opponent, Colin Allred (D), in a dead heat for the Senate seat — 44% for both, with 12% undecided. While the number of voters unsure about how they will vote is rather large, Cruz seems to have a real chance of losing — if the poll holds. According to the survey, GOP men and women heavily support Cruz by 85% and 86%, respectively. However, the majority of Democratic and Independent men and women surveyed support Allred for senator.
While the National Public Affairs poll is the most recent one published on the two candidates, the Hobby School of Public Affairs at the University of Houston conducted an online survey in January, which showed different results. That poll involved 1,500 YouGov respondents and showed the Texas legislator ahead by nine points, with the Libertarian candidate pulling 4% and 9% undecided. An Emerson College poll from around the same period also showed Cruz ahead of Allred in a hypothetical matchup — but by a slimmer margin of just 2%.
According to The Hill, Allred raised more funds than Cruz during the first three quarters of 2023, but the senator outraised him in the fourth quarter. Still, Allred’s campaign reportedly said the fundraising numbers favor the Democrat to unseat Cruz.
If the senator loses his seat to a Democratic opponent, representation for Texas will be split in Congress’ Upper Chamber. How do you think the public would feel about Cruz losing his seat?
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