Matt Towery Reveals Surprising Trends in Key States on Fox News

Trump gains ground in battleground states, posing challenges for Harris’s campaign as 2024 election looms.

At a Glance

Recent polls show increasing support for Trump in key swing states
Harris maintains a slight national lead, but battleground states are tightening
Demographic shifts and voter perceptions of past presidencies influencing poll results
Electoral College dynamics could play a crucial role in determining the outcome

Trump’s Resurgence in Battleground States

Recent polling data has revealed a concerning trend for the Democratic Party as former President Donald Trump gains ground in crucial battleground states. Polling expert Matt Towery, appearing on Fox News’ “The Ingraham Angle,” shared insights into the shifting political landscape that could significantly impact the 2024 presidential race.

While Vice President Kamala Harris currently maintains a slim lead in national polls, the margins in key Electoral College states have narrowed considerably. Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania, once considered part of the Democratic “blue wall,” are now showing leads of only 1-2 points for Harris.

Trump gaining ground in swing states. https://t.co/wdVmRM4aWG

— Nile Gardiner (@NileGardiner) September 1, 2024

Swing States in the Balance

The battle for swing states has intensified, with Nevada emerging as a particularly close contest. Harris leads by a razor-thin margin of a point or less in a state that has traditionally leaned Democratic. Meanwhile, Trump has edged ahead by 2 points or less in North Carolina, Arizona, and Georgia, states he lost in the 2020 election.

“The close distribution of support between the two major party candidates suggests that Georgia and North Carolina remain highly competitive,” said Kevin Wagner, Ph.D., professor of political science and co-director of the PolCom Lab. “Among likely voters, the undecided population, though small, could still play a crucial role in determining the outcome, particularly in a tight race such as this one.”

These razor-thin margins underscore the volatility of the upcoming election, with all seven swing states close enough to potentially swing in either direction. This uncertainty is further compounded by the fact that small leads in polling averages are not always reliable indicators of election outcomes due to potential polling errors.

Voter Perceptions and Demographics

A significant factor influencing these poll results is voter perception of past presidencies. According to recent New York Times/Siena College polls, voters across the Sun Belt states believe that Donald Trump improved their lives during his presidency. Conversely, there are concerns about how a Kamala Harris White House might impact their daily lives.

“Voters across the Sun Belt say that Donald J. Trump improved their lives when he was president — and worry that a Kamala Harris White House would not — setting the stage for an extraordinarily competitive contest in three key states, according to the latest polls from The New York Times and Siena College.

The polls found that Mr. Trump has gained a lead in Arizona and remains ahead in Georgia, two states that he lost to President Biden in 2020. But in North Carolina, which has not voted for a Democrat since 2008, Ms. Harris trails Mr. Trump by just a narrow margin.

The polls of these three states, taken from Sept. 17 to 21, presented further evidence that in a sharply divided nation, the presidential contest is shaping up to be one of the tightest in history.”

Demographic shifts are also playing a role in these poll results. In Arizona, for instance, Latino voters appear to be shifting away from Harris, with 10% now undecided. This change in a key voting bloc could have significant implications for the election outcome in this crucial swing state.

The Road Ahead

As the 2024 election approaches, both campaigns face significant challenges. For Harris, the task will be to solidify support in traditionally Democratic strongholds while making inroads in states that have been trending Republican. Trump, on the other hand, will need to capitalize on his current momentum and address concerns among moderate voters.

With the election still months away, these poll results serve as an early indicator of the intense battle to come. As both campaigns ramp up their efforts in battleground states, voters can expect a flood of advertising and campaign events aimed at swaying the crucial undecided voters who may ultimately determine the outcome of this historic election.